Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.081669e-03 1.230795e-03 0.001382 0.001545 0.001717 0.001892 0.002082
2025-05-04 9.040213e-04 1.121187e-03 0.001349 0.001603 0.001876 0.002161 0.002476
2025-05-11 6.815649e-04 9.375449e-04 0.001217 0.001538 0.001893 0.002269 0.002694
2025-05-18 4.872844e-04 7.621925e-04 0.001076 0.001450 0.001873 0.002330 0.002854
2025-05-25 3.618202e-04 6.502504e-04 0.000996 0.001419 0.001909 0.002446 0.003070
2025-06-01 2.439714e-04 5.296741e-04 0.000893 0.001354 0.001899 0.002506 0.003220
2025-06-08 1.702324e-04 4.537917e-04 0.000836 0.001336 0.001939 0.002619 0.003425
2025-06-15 1.361304e-04 4.283440e-04 0.000840 0.001389 0.002060 0.002822 0.003731
2025-06-22 8.333390e-05 3.601738e-04 0.000780 0.001359 0.002078 0.002905 0.003899
2025-06-29 5.307580e-05 3.206260e-04 0.000755 0.001370 0.002143 0.003040 0.004123
2025-07-06 4.755515e-05 3.293403e-04 0.000799 0.001468 0.002314 0.003297 0.004488
2025-07-13 2.163417e-05 2.790935e-04 0.000751 0.001444 0.002334 0.003376 0.004646
2025-07-20 4.378135e-07 2.023340e-04 0.000666 0.001385 0.002331 0.003455 0.004836
2025-07-27 NaN 1.766225e-04 0.000660 0.001433 0.002464 0.003699 0.005223
2025-08-03 NaN 1.138320e-04 0.000577 0.001368 0.002451 0.003767 0.005405
2025-08-10 NaN 5.894555e-05 0.000485 0.001282 0.002407 0.003795 0.005540
2025-08-17 NaN 3.065113e-05 0.000434 0.001251 0.002433 0.003907 0.005772
2025-08-24 NaN 7.665711e-06 0.000367 0.001188 0.002412 0.003958 0.005930
2025-08-31 NaN 4.712083e-07 0.000331 0.001171 0.002450 0.004082 0.006174
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000335 0.001220 0.002580 0.004320 0.006555
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000296 0.001192 0.002600 0.004418 0.006766
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000280 0.001202 0.002671 0.004581 0.007054
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000307 0.001294 0.002861 0.004894 0.007525